Prolonged drought and decrease of crop yield forecast.
Remote Sensing Centre monitors crop conditions and hazards during growing season using database of NOAA/AVHRR satellite images. These images were used for preparing models which apply surface radiation temperature for assessing intensity of drought within agricultural land. In 2019 in central Poland high temperatures and low rainfalls are observed since the beginning of June, which results in lack of sufficient soil moisture. The current drought situation is presented at the resolution of 1 sq.km for June 30, 2019. At the last ten-day period of June the area affected with drought increased covering northern and eastern Poland. Slight decrease of drought conditions appeared in western Poland (wielkopolskie and lubuskie voivodships). Currently it is estimated, that 50% of agricultural land in Poland is affected with drought, while 24% is related to extreme drought.
We've monitored the development of drought from the start of growing season. Every 10 days we've published the actual map with the information about drought at the agricultural regions.
Resources on agricultural moisture conditions 2019 you can find here: Agricultural drought monitoring.
Institute of Geodesy and Cartography also deals with modelling of yields for cereals and rape. In 2019 significant reductions of yields are expected, due to bad conditions at the start of growing season and prolonged drought in June - the month which is crucial for cereal and rape final development. Resources on crop yield forecast for year 2019 you can find here: Forecast of crop yield.